Real-Time Financial Data Prediction Using Meta-cognitive Recurrent Kernel Online Sequential Extreme Learning Machine

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel algorithm called Meta-cognitive Recurrent Kernel Online Sequential Extreme Learning Machine with a kernel filter and a modified Drift Detector Mechanism (Meta-RKOS-ELM $$_\mathrm{ALD}$$ -DDM). The algorithm aims to tackle a well-known concept drift problem in time series prediction by utilising the modified concept drift detector mechanism. Moreover, the new meta-cognitive learning strategy is employed to solve parameter dependency and reduce learning time. The experimental results show that the proposed method can achieve better performance than the conventional algorithm in a set of financial datasets.